Catastrophe Ratemaking Revisited (Use of Computer Models to Estimate Loss Costs;)
نویسندگان
چکیده
Recent developments in computer technology have significantly altered the way the insurance business functions. Easy access to large quantities of data has rendered some traditional ratemaking limitations obsolete. The emergence of catastrophe simulation using computer modeling has helped actuaries develop new methods for measuring catastrophe risk and providing for it in insurance rates. This paper addresses issues associated with these methods and provides actuaries, underwriters and regulators with an understanding of the features and benefits of computer modeling for catastrophe ratemaking. Biographies Michael A. Walters is a principal and consulting actuary with Tillinghast-Towers Perrin in Parsippany, New Jersey. A graduate of Fordham University, he has a master's degree in mathematics from the University of Notre Dame. He is a Fellow and past president of the Casualty Actuarial Society and a past vice president of the American Academy of Actuaries and past chairman of its Casualty Practice Council. He has authored two papers previously included in the CAS Syllabus of Examinations: " Homeowners Insurance Ratemaking " and " Risk Classification Standards. " The latter was awarded the 1981 CAS Dorweiler prize. Frayois Morin is a consulting actuary with Tillinghast-Towers Perrin in Hartford, Connecticut. Mr. Morin has a bachelor of science degree in actuarial science from Lava1 University in Quebec City. He is a Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries. Mr. Morin provides catastrophe modeling consulting services to the insurance industry and has contributed to the development of ToPCAT, Tillinghast's catastrophe model.
منابع مشابه
The Baluncing of Ratemaking Assumptions and Annual Financial Planning Asswizptions by Scott Anderson, FCAS
When an elaborate operational and financial plan is prepared for the followinp year. including assumptions regarding prospective rate changes. goals are made with regard to premium levels and profitability. Ifcertain assumptions such as catastrophe loads. loss trends and the effects ofvariability arc not explicitly linked to the assumptions used for ratemaking on the product and state Icvel. a ...
متن کاملRelationship to Other Mechanisms
Risk classification involves concepts similar to those in ratemaking (Chapter 3) and individual risk rating (Chapter 4). Actuaries use risk classification primarily in ratemaking when there is not sufficient information to estimate a price for a given individual. In order to derive a price, individuals who are expected to have the same costs are grouped together. The actuary then calculates a p...
متن کاملGeographic Rating of Individual Risk Transfer Costs Without Territorial Boundaries
This paper describes a geographic ratemaking procedure that does not require territories or territory boundaries. The procedure develops a unique rate for every point on the map. The result can be visualized as a smooth surface over a map, with the height of the surface at any point representing the rate for that point. Abrupt changes in rates such as those which occur at territory boundaries a...
متن کاملGeneral Insurance Deductible Ratemaking
Insurance claims have deductibles, which must be considered when pricing for insurance premium. Deductibles may cause censoring and truncation to the frequencies, severities, and peril types of observed insurance claims. In practice, the regression approach is often used with deductible amount included as an explanatory variable inside a frequency-severity model, so that the resulting coefficie...
متن کاملPost-Reform Ratemaking: Adjustment of Pre-Reform loss Post-Reform LOS Development Patterns
Objecrive Ratemaking data, particularly loss development pattems, for a state which has enacted major workers compensation reform is not available for a number of years following reform. As a result adjustment, or actuarial judgment, needs to be applied to historical pre-reform data to reflect expected post-refotm loss development pattems. The adjusted pattem can then be incorporated into tradi...
متن کامل